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January 9, 2017

Archer 2017 Annual Update and Outlook - At the start of 2016 we anticipated the market to move higher by 5

-7%…  (Click here for the rest of the article)

July 15, 2016

Archer 2016 Mid-Year Update and Outlook - Where are the earnings driving this market higher? This is the question we pose for investors…  (Click here for the rest of the article)

January 13, 2016

The Archer's Target: Is the Bear Awake? - It feels really cold out so we would expect the bears to be hibernating...  (Click here for the rest of the article)

You should carefully consider the investment objectives, potential risks, management fees, and charges and expenses of the Fund before investing. The Fund's prospectus contains this and other information about the Fund, and should be read carefully before investing. You may obtain a current copy of the Fund's prospectus by calling 800-238-7701 or by downloading one online at www.thearcherfunds.com.


The Fund's past performance does not guarantee future results. The investment return and principal value of an investment in the Fund will fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance of the Fund may be lower or higher than the performance quoted. Performance data current to the most recent month end may be obtained by calling 800-238-7701


The Archer Funds are distributed by Arbor Court Capital, LLC, 8000 Town Centre Drive, Suite 400, Broadview Heights, OH 44147, Member FINRA.


Copyright © 2017, Archer Funds, All rights reserved.

 


January 2016 Archer’s Target:


Troy Patton, CPA/ABV - Fund Manager, The Archer FundsPosted: Wednesday 1/13/2016  5:09 PM


The Archer's Target: Is the Bear Awake?






It feels really cold out so we would expect the bears to be hibernating.  One such bear may have been awoken a bit too early.  The market dropped another 2.5% today and is starting to rattle his cave.  How can we get him back to sleep?


Most finance professionals and those who follow the market have a saying, "so goes January, so goes the market."  This is only true 40% of the time.  The chart below clearly shows that just because January is negative, the year will be as well.



However, we probably need to be prudent and take a look at the downside of the market and what we can expect if it does continue to fall.  If we look at history and find the averages for Free Cash Flow, Return on Equity, Price to Book, and Price to Earnings, we would expect the market to drop another 10%.  However, this is since 1957 and this number includes years where inflation was very high and very low.  If we look at only periods where low inflation existed (Consumer Price Index change was less than 3%), then we would only drop another 1-2%.


If the market were to drop 15% or more it would put the market in a very undervalued bottom quartile (bottom 25% of valuations), then we would be buying in a frenzy as we believe the market would recover and create a very solid buying opportunity for investors. Frankly, we hope the market finds its footing and creeps slowly forward.  However, for now, the market is following the oil market lower as the fear that low oil prices will seep over into the rest of the market through layoffs and bankruptcies.  


At this juncture, although some companies will not survive this down trend in oil, we think it is a net positive for the consumer.  This will ultimately move stock prices forward.  We have posted our 2016 outlook and invite you to read it and feel free to contact us with any questions.


Regards,

Troy C. Patton, CPA/ABV

tpatton@thearcherfunds.com

800-800-1776



The opinions contained herein are not intended to be investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.  Archer Investment Corporation manages The Archer Funds.  You should carefully consider the investment objectives, potential risks, management fees, and charges and expenses of the Fund before investing.  The Fund’s prospectus contains this and other information about the Fund, and should be read carefully before investing.  You may obtain a current copy of the Fund’s prospectus by calling 800-800-1776 or visit www.thearcherfunds.com.  Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.  The investment return and principle value of an investment in the Fund will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Distributed by Arbor Court Capital, LLC, 2000 Auburn Drive, Suite 300, Beachwood, OH 44122 Member FINRA.



Troy Patton, CPA/ABV - Fund Manager, The Archer FundsPosted: Thursday 1/7/2016  4:20 PM


The Archer's Target: Turbulence Ahead?






Often times when you are on a flight there is some turbulence.  It is very common.  The takeoff is always pretty smooth and the landing can be easy or a bit bumpy.  We took off in 2010 and the market has had very little turbulence on our flight.


We are experiencing that turbulence now.  It is a repeat of the August jolt we felt from the Chinese currency issues.  We are once again facing the same thing with some added fuel from Iran vs. Saudi Arabia and North Korea flexing their miniscule muscles. Also the slide in oil has created havoc on the Energy Sector's earnings.  We think the worst is behind us in oil and expect oil to rebound to more normal levels above 40 in the mid-term.  Long-term, a price of $65-$75 would not be out of bounds.  It is just when we get back to those levels.


Frankly if anyone knew we were headed into a bear market all precautions would be taken. I don't think this time is any different though.  In fact, I think we will get some additional turbulence but the landing should be fairly simple.  The US dollar is starting to fall a bit which is good for companies doing business overseas. A couple of things to watch are if unemployment claims get to 300,000 or the Manufacturing has another report of less than 50, we should take precaution.  However, right now, although more turbulence is in store, the market looks fairly priced.  In fact, there are always times the market is higher or lower than the norm, but we must not forget that we are long-term investors and should not be swayed by short-term gyrations.



Don't Hibernate just yet, look at the next chart and you can see over time, there are often dips and peaks.  Our goal is to smooth them out as much as possible, but over time have a smooth ride.  So try to put your Rip VanWinkle hat on and sit back and take a snooze until we land this time as well.


We will put out our 2016 outlook tomorrow.  If you have any questions, feel free to call.


Regards,

Troy C. Patton, CPA/ABV

tpatton@thearcherfunds.com

800-800-1776



The opinions contained herein are not intended to be investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.  Archer Investment Corporation manages The Archer Funds.  You should carefully consider the investment objectives, potential risks, management fees, and charges and expenses of the Fund before investing.  The Fund’s prospectus contains this and other information about the Fund, and should be read carefully before investing.  You may obtain a current copy of the Fund’s prospectus by calling 800-800-1776 or visit www.thearcherfunds.com.  Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.  The investment return and principle value of an investment in the Fund will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Distributed by Arbor Court Capital, LLC, 2000 Auburn Drive, Suite 300, Beachwood, OH 44122 Member FINRA.